Rare Japanese Intervention in Yen Trading Manages to Halt Yen's Bullish Trend

The most significant economic event yesterday was beyond any doubt Japan's ‎confirmation of a unilateral intervention in yen trading in order to put a stop to the ‎soaring currency. The consequences were seen immediately and the yen saw its ‎biggest daily loss in 22 months. Unusual trading is expected today as well. ‎

USD - Dollar Sees Mixed Results Vs. The Majors

The U.S. dollar saw mixed results against most of the major currencies during ‎yesterday's session. The dollar fell about 80 pips vs. the British pound, causing the ‎GBP/USD pair to reach the 1.5650 level. The dollar also saw an irregular 250 pips gain ‎against the Japanese yen, following the recent 15-year low the USD/JPY pair hit ‎earlier this week. The dollar did not show a clear trend against the euro.‎

The dollar was boosted against the yen yesterday following Japan's decision to ‎actively intervene in devaluing the national currency. It was only a couple of days ago ‎the yen reached a 15-year high against the dollar. This in turn caused the bank of ‎Japan to unexpectedly buy dollars in order to halt the soaring yen. As a result the JPY ‎sharply fell against all the major currencies, including the greenback. ‎

Against the rest of the major currencies the dollar failed to see similar results ‎following disappointing U.S. economic releases. The Empire State Manufacturing ‎Index showed that manufacturing in the New York region expanded at a slower pace ‎than forecast in September. In addition, the Industrial Production report showed that ‎total value of output produced by manufacturers rose by 0.2% in August. Analysts ‎had originally predicted the figure to come in at 0.3%. As a result, the dollar dropped ‎slightly against the euro and pound.‎

As for today, a batch of data is expected from the U.S. economy. The most significant ‎releases are likely to be the Producer Price Index, the weekly Unemployment Claims ‎and the Philadelphia Manufacturing Index. Each one of these publications is likely to ‎have a large impact on USD trading. ‎

EUR - Euro Slips Against the Pound; Soars Vs. The Yen

The euro saw a volatile session during trading yesterday. The currency mainly saw ups ‎and downs vs. the U.S. dollar, without marking a clear direction. Against the British ‎pound the euro fell about 100 pips. On the other hand, it gained over 350 pips against ‎the Japanese yen.‎

The euro fell against the pound yesterday following the European Consumer Price ‎Index figure for August. The report showed that the euro-zone's annual inflation rate ‎eased to 1.6% from 1.7% in July, indicating that the European Central Bank has ‎enough room to maintain its loose monetary policy, and to keep interest rates at a ‎record low of 1.00%. Investors interpreted this as an opportunity to open short ‎positions against the euro, especially against high yielding assets, such as the pound.‎
Nevertheless, the euro saw an extraordinary bullish move against the yen. The yen fell ‎against all the major currencies due to the Japanese government's intervention in JPY ‎trading. ‎

Looking ahead to today, the most significant economic release from the euro-zone ‎seems to be the European Trade Balance figure. Trade balance measures the difference ‎in value between imported and exported goods and services over the previous month. ‎A positive figure might support the euro.‎

JPY - Yen Free-falls Following BoJ Intervention in Yen Trading

The yen tumbled against all the major currencies yesterday. It slipped about 250 pips ‎against the dollar, causing the USD/JPY pair to rise from a 15-year low to the 85.50 ‎level. The yen also lost about 350 pips against the euro and about 500 pips against the ‎British pound.‎

The JPY saw its largest daily loss in 22 months after Japan's Finance Minister ‎Yoshihiko Noda said the Bank of Japan actively devalued the currency. This was the ‎first time since 2004 that the Japanese leadership decided to intervene in the forex ‎market. The decision came after the yen saw a 15-year high against the dollar. The fear ‎was that the strong yen would damage Japan's export industry. ‎

As for today, the yen is likely to remain the most volatile currency of all the majors. ‎Traders are advised to look for notifications regarding the BoJ's actions in the market, ‎and take under consideration that if the Japanese leadership will continue to intervene, ‎the yen may see another bearish session.‎

OIL - Crude Oil Falls For the 3rd Day to $74.70 a Barrel

Crude oil fell to a session low of $74.70 a barrel yesterday. After starting out at ‎around $76.50 a barrel, oil saw a sharp drop before correcting some of its losses to end ‎the day around $75.50 a barrel.‎

Crude fell yesterday after U.S. regulators agreed to a Friday Restart of Enbridge's ‎biggest pipeline from Canada, restoring crude supplies to Midwest refineries. In ‎addition, reports showed that demand for gasoline in the U.S, the world's largest oil ‎consumer, fell by 2.6% lately. The combination of bigger supplies and lower demand ‎typically lead to a drop in prices.‎

Looking ahead to today, traders are advised to follow the leading economic ‎publications, especially from the U.S. and the euro-zone, as they tend to have a large ‎impact on crude oil trading. Traders should keep in mind that positive results are likely ‎to support crude oil prices.

Technical News


The bullish trend is losing its steam and the pair seems to be consolidating around the ‎‎1.2990 level. There is a bearish cross forming on the 4-hour Slow Stochastic, ‎indicating a bearish correction might take place in the nearest future. When the ‎downward breach occurs, going short with tight stops appears to be the preferable ‎strategy.


The daily chart is showing mixed signals with its RSI fluctuating in neutral territory. ‎However, the 4-hour chart's RSI is already floating in the over-sold territory ‎suggesting that the recent downward trend is losing steam and a bullish correction is ‎impending. Going long with tight stops might be the right strategy today.‎


The volatility this pair has seen recently has created a number of contradictory signals. ‎The hourly chart shows a bullish cross on the Slow Stochastic, indicating an upward ‎movement may be coming. Contrary to this is the bearish cross on the 4-hour chart, ‎signaling an impending upward movement. Waiting for a clear signal might be wise ‎today. ‎


The pair has been range-trading for a while now, with no specific direction. The Daily ‎chart's Slow Stochastic providing us with mixed signals. The 4 hour charts do not ‎provide a clear direction as well. Waiting for a clearer sign on the hourlies chart might ‎be a good strategy today.‎


This pair has been trading very flat these past few weeks, but has now begun to show ‎signs of life. The MACD on the hourly and 4-hour chart shows clear bullish crosses, ‎signaling an impending bullish move. The daily chart also has a bullish cross on the ‎Slow Stochastic, which supports this notion. Forex traders can join this upcoming ‎trend by entering early buy positions and riding the upcoming spike for profits this ‎week. ‎

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What is Forex?

If you would go out on a dinner with your friends or family and you mentioned that you were trading on the Forex market most of them wouldn’t know what you were talking about. The worst thing is that most of the Forex traders that join the Forex market don’t know what they are doing. Understanding what Forex is, is the first good step to your success at Forex trading.

The foreign exchange market (Currency, Forex, or FX) is where currency trading takes place. It is where banks and other official institutions facilitate the buying and selling of foreign currencies. Forex transactions typically involve one party purchasing a quantity of one currency in exchange for paying a quantity of another. The foreign exchange market that we see today started evolving during the 1970s when world over countries gradually switched to floating exchange rate from their erstwhile exchange rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system till 1971.

Today, the Forex market is one of the largest and most liquid financial markets in the world, and includes trading between large banks, central banks, currency speculators, corporations, governments, and other institutions. The average daily volume in the global foreign exchange and related markets is continuously growing. Traditional daily turnover was reported to be over US$3.2 trillion in April 2007 by the Bank for International Settlements. Since then, the market has continued to grow. According to Euromoney's annual Forex Poll, volumes grew a further 41% between 2007 and 2008.

Forex Turnover

Forex Turnover
Main foreign exchange market turnover, 1988 - 2007, measured in billions of USD.
The purpose of Forex market is to facilitate trade and investment. The need for a foreign exchange market arises because of the presence of multifarious international currencies such as US Dollar, Pound Sterling, Yen, etc., and the need for trading in such currencies. Since you aren’t buying anything physical this kind of trading can be confusing. When buying a currency think of it as buying a part in that particular country’s economy because the currency rate reflects the economical situation of the country when compared to others.


List of most popular currencies on the Forex market

Forex used to be a closed market because only the “big boys” because you needed between 10 and 50 million $ to open an account. But today, with the development of internet, online Forex brokers have the possibility to offer their services to “little” traders. All you need to start is a computer, fast internet connection and information which you can find on this page also.

This enormous market is like the dangerous sea where you can meet lots of sharks and dangerous waters but at the same time it is the only one where two weeks of trading can hypothetically bring you $1,000,000 out of $1,000 of initial investment.

This is certainly hypothetically because a lot of newbie traders deal with their trades as gambling, that surely bring them to having nothing in the end. You should always keep the phrase "be careful!" in your mind. This market would give you its profit possibilities only if you learn the basic things hard and make lots of demo trading.

The statistics is that as much as 95% of traders come to losing their money at Forex, 5% have profit and less than 1% of traders make large fortune at Forex. You shouldn't produce, sell or advertise anything trading at Forex. Your assets are your knowledge, experience and a small amount of cash.

This market is a platform for banks, transnational corporations and individual traders to change the currencies they possess into other ones. This is the spot Forex market. At this market you can trade with up to 1:400 leverage which means that you'll get $400 on your account for each dollar invested. So, you can trade with the $400,000 sum having invested $1,000 onto your account.

Forex is unique among other world markets because in any time of day and night, somewhere in the world, a financial centre is open for business, banks and corporations exchange currency all the time, with a little lower frequency during the weekend.

Why to trade on Forex?

1. There is no commission fee for trading at Forex.
2. There is no intermediary, you can trade directly at Forex.
3. Forex is open 24-hours a day.
4. Nobody can influence the market for a longer period.
5. High liquidity.
6. Free demo accounts, analysis and charts.
7. Small accounts that allow everyone to try out his luck.

Hope this has answered a lot of questions you were asking yourself about Forex and that you can now start trading. Also make sure that you check out other articles on this blog which can help you earn your fortune.

Good luck to everyone!