9.15.2010

USD/JPY Hits New 15-year Low

The U.S. dollar fell to a fresh 15-year low against the Japanese yen ahead of a big leadership election in Japan. The greenback also sank against the euro during Tuesday's trading.



USD - Dollar Falls Ahead of Japan Leadership Vote

The U.S. currency was near a 1-month low against a basket of currencies after suffering its steepest fall against the euro in two months as rising investor risk appetite helped the European currency.

The dollar fell to a 9-month low against the Swiss franc on Tuesday as market players scaled back investments in risk currencies and poured funds into low-yielding currencies such as the yen and the franc. The dollar fell 0.2% to 1.0050 franc, its lowest since December of last year.

The greenback traded broadly flat against the euro on Tuesday, at $1.2870, after losing more than 1% against the common currency on Monday. The dollar touched 83.23 yen, the lowest level in 15 years, but later recovered slightly to 83.43, but still down from 83.66 in late trading on Monday. The move came ahead of an election to decide the leader of the Democratic Party of Japan, with the winner widely expected to serve as the nation's prime minister. Analysts said that dollar-yen pair may firm and could strengthen toward 85 should Japan's political situation stabilize.

EUR - Euro Gains on Risk-Asset Demand

The euro rose the most in 10 weeks against the U.S. dollar after regulators gave European banks more time than analysts expected to meet new capital requirements. The euro also strengthened after the European Commission said the region's economy may grow almost twice as fast this year as previously forecasted. Against the Japanese yen however, the euro lost ground, hitting 107.42, down from 107.63 Monday.

The euro strengthened 1.6% against the dollar to $1.2878. It climbed earlier as much as 1.7% to $1.2893 in the biggest intraday gain since July 1. The euro rebounded 12% from a four-year low on June 7 through Aug. 6 as investors focused on worse-than-forecasted U.S. economic data as European statistics surpassed predictions. Still, the euro may be unable to sustain its gains against the dollar as renewed concern over the solvency of nations from Portugal to Ireland points to another slump for the common European currency.

JPY - Yen Extends Gains Versus Dollar Before Election

The yen rose to a 15-year high on Tuesday ahead of a decisive vote in Japan, weighing on Japanese equities and leaving traders wondering whether a rally that has lifted global stock markets to their highest levels in a month can be sustained.

The yen rallied versus the dollar on speculation Prime Minister Naoto Kan will beat his rival Ichiro Ozawa in a party vote today; reducing the likelihood the government will intervene to weaken the currency. Japan's currency also strengthened against all the major currencies as the Japanese stocks dropped, boosting demand for safer assets.

OIL - Oil Rises on Improved Global Economic Outlook

Crude Oil closed above $77 a barrel Monday after upbeat data from China stoked optimism about the global economy, while the closure of a pipeline in the Midwest disrupted supplies to refineries in the region. Oil traders were cheered by increasing industrial production in China, which over the weekend reported manufacturing gains of nearly 14% in August from a year ago, with the data signaling the world's second-biggest economy is growing.

Crude prices earlier reached an intraday high of $78.07 a barrel, the first time a front-month contract breached the $78 mark since Aug. 11. On Friday, Oil gained $2.20 to end at $76.45 a barrel, closing the week higher by 2.5%. A softer U.S. dollar also supported the dollar-denominated commodity by making it less costly for holders of other currencies.

Technical News

EUR/USD

The pair has been rising constantly since the beginning of the week and is currently trading around the 1.2870 level. As the MACD on the 4-hour chart continues to point up, the pair could rise further, with potential to reach the 1.2950 level.

GBP/USD

The pair failed to breach the 1.5500 level yesterday, and as a result saw a sharp fall which took it as low as the 1.5365 level. The bearish move might continue today, with a key-target level of 1.5300.

USD/JPY

The bearish trend continues with full steam as the USD/JPY has reached a 15-year low on yesterday's trading. The RSI on the weekly chart remains within the over-sold section, suggesting that the pair might drop even further. Going short might be preferable today.

USD/CHF

Ever since peaking at the 1.275 level, the pair is dropping with no apparent stops. The MACD and the RSI on the 4-hour chart continue to point down, indicating that the bearish move has more room to go. Going short might be a good strategy today.

Oil

A swift rise in the price of spot crude oil by $5 may have left the commodity oversold. A bearish cross has formed on the daily chart's Slow Stochastic oscillator, indicating that the price may fall in the near term. Another sign supporting an end to the price rally is the doji candlestick from yesterday's trading. The price climbed to a high of $77, a previous resistance level from early February. CFD traders may want to liquidate any long positions they may have in spot crude oil. Support is found at $75.60.

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What is Forex?

If you would go out on a dinner with your friends or family and you mentioned that you were trading on the Forex market most of them wouldn’t know what you were talking about. The worst thing is that most of the Forex traders that join the Forex market don’t know what they are doing. Understanding what Forex is, is the first good step to your success at Forex trading.


The foreign exchange market (Currency, Forex, or FX) is where currency trading takes place. It is where banks and other official institutions facilitate the buying and selling of foreign currencies. Forex transactions typically involve one party purchasing a quantity of one currency in exchange for paying a quantity of another. The foreign exchange market that we see today started evolving during the 1970s when world over countries gradually switched to floating exchange rate from their erstwhile exchange rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system till 1971.

Today, the Forex market is one of the largest and most liquid financial markets in the world, and includes trading between large banks, central banks, currency speculators, corporations, governments, and other institutions. The average daily volume in the global foreign exchange and related markets is continuously growing. Traditional daily turnover was reported to be over US$3.2 trillion in April 2007 by the Bank for International Settlements. Since then, the market has continued to grow. According to Euromoney's annual Forex Poll, volumes grew a further 41% between 2007 and 2008.

Forex Turnover

Forex Turnover
Main foreign exchange market turnover, 1988 - 2007, measured in billions of USD.
The purpose of Forex market is to facilitate trade and investment. The need for a foreign exchange market arises because of the presence of multifarious international currencies such as US Dollar, Pound Sterling, Yen, etc., and the need for trading in such currencies. Since you aren’t buying anything physical this kind of trading can be confusing. When buying a currency think of it as buying a part in that particular country’s economy because the currency rate reflects the economical situation of the country when compared to others.

Currencies

Currencies
List of most popular currencies on the Forex market

Forex used to be a closed market because only the “big boys” because you needed between 10 and 50 million $ to open an account. But today, with the development of internet, online Forex brokers have the possibility to offer their services to “little” traders. All you need to start is a computer, fast internet connection and information which you can find on this page also.

This enormous market is like the dangerous sea where you can meet lots of sharks and dangerous waters but at the same time it is the only one where two weeks of trading can hypothetically bring you $1,000,000 out of $1,000 of initial investment.

This is certainly hypothetically because a lot of newbie traders deal with their trades as gambling, that surely bring them to having nothing in the end. You should always keep the phrase "be careful!" in your mind. This market would give you its profit possibilities only if you learn the basic things hard and make lots of demo trading.

The statistics is that as much as 95% of traders come to losing their money at Forex, 5% have profit and less than 1% of traders make large fortune at Forex. You shouldn't produce, sell or advertise anything trading at Forex. Your assets are your knowledge, experience and a small amount of cash.

This market is a platform for banks, transnational corporations and individual traders to change the currencies they possess into other ones. This is the spot Forex market. At this market you can trade with up to 1:400 leverage which means that you'll get $400 on your account for each dollar invested. So, you can trade with the $400,000 sum having invested $1,000 onto your account.

Forex is unique among other world markets because in any time of day and night, somewhere in the world, a financial centre is open for business, banks and corporations exchange currency all the time, with a little lower frequency during the weekend.

Why to trade on Forex?

1. There is no commission fee for trading at Forex.
2. There is no intermediary, you can trade directly at Forex.
3. Forex is open 24-hours a day.
4. Nobody can influence the market for a longer period.
5. High liquidity.
6. Free demo accounts, analysis and charts.
7. Small accounts that allow everyone to try out his luck.

Hope this has answered a lot of questions you were asking yourself about Forex and that you can now start trading. Also make sure that you check out other articles on this blog which can help you earn your fortune.

Good luck to everyone!