US Dollar Pushes Higher as Traders Bet on Wall St Weakness (Euro Open)

The US Dollar advanced to start the trading week as US stock index futures slipped over 1% in overnight trading, suggesting risk aversion may be returning to financial markets. An uneventful calendar in European hours will likely see risk sentiment remain the principal driver for forex price action.

Key Overnight Developments

• US Dollar Rises as Dow Jones, S&P 500 Futures Slip Over 1%
• Euro, British Pound Follow Risky Assets Lower

Critical Levels

The Euro trended lower against the US Dollar, losing as much as -0.7%. The British Pound followed suit, shedding as much as -0.6% against the greenback. Technical positioning favors a bearish outlook on both EURUSD and GBPUSD.

Asia Session Highlights

With little of note on the economic calendar, markets fell back on risk sentiment as the principal driver for forex price action. Futures on the Dow Jones and S&P 500 stock indices slipped over 1%, suggesting investors are betting that Wall St. stocks will move lower to start the trading week. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index erased initial gains after Hong Kong stocks dropped over 2% in early trading as Financial Times reported that American Express Co. and Allianz SE will sell their stakes in ICBC, China’s biggest bank, for a combined $2 billion. Asian exchanges initially moved higher following Friday’s Wall St. rally on news that the US Federal Reserve’s stress tests revealed most banks are adequately capitalized.

The retreat in risky assets boosted US Dollar – an index of the greenback’s average value against six top global currencies gapped higher to start the week and rose as much as 0.5% ahead of the opening bell in Europe. The US Dollar has been seen as a safe-haven asset amid falling stock markets, showing a -84% inverse correlation with global stock performance (based on a 90-day rolling correlation study).

Euro Session: What to Expect

An uneventful economic calendar is likely to yield to risk sentiment as the principal driver for forex price action in European hours. If stock markets continue to slip into negative territory, the US Dollar is likely to extend gains against the spectrum of major currencies.

A brief scan of European data is set to reveal deepening recession – the Import Price Index is set to drop -6.5% in the year to March, the most in over a decade; meanwhile, the GfK Consumer Confidence Survey is expected to print at 2.3 in May, the lowest since February.

Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Analyst
Article Source - US Dollar Pushes Higher as Traders Bet on Wall St Weakness (Euro Open)
US Dollar Pushes Higher as Traders Bet on Wall St Weakness (Euro Open)SocialTwist Tell-a-Friend

What is Forex?

If you would go out on a dinner with your friends or family and you mentioned that you were trading on the Forex market most of them wouldn’t know what you were talking about. The worst thing is that most of the Forex traders that join the Forex market don’t know what they are doing. Understanding what Forex is, is the first good step to your success at Forex trading.

The foreign exchange market (Currency, Forex, or FX) is where currency trading takes place. It is where banks and other official institutions facilitate the buying and selling of foreign currencies. Forex transactions typically involve one party purchasing a quantity of one currency in exchange for paying a quantity of another. The foreign exchange market that we see today started evolving during the 1970s when world over countries gradually switched to floating exchange rate from their erstwhile exchange rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system till 1971.

Today, the Forex market is one of the largest and most liquid financial markets in the world, and includes trading between large banks, central banks, currency speculators, corporations, governments, and other institutions. The average daily volume in the global foreign exchange and related markets is continuously growing. Traditional daily turnover was reported to be over US$3.2 trillion in April 2007 by the Bank for International Settlements. Since then, the market has continued to grow. According to Euromoney's annual Forex Poll, volumes grew a further 41% between 2007 and 2008.

Forex Turnover

Forex Turnover
Main foreign exchange market turnover, 1988 - 2007, measured in billions of USD.
The purpose of Forex market is to facilitate trade and investment. The need for a foreign exchange market arises because of the presence of multifarious international currencies such as US Dollar, Pound Sterling, Yen, etc., and the need for trading in such currencies. Since you aren’t buying anything physical this kind of trading can be confusing. When buying a currency think of it as buying a part in that particular country’s economy because the currency rate reflects the economical situation of the country when compared to others.


List of most popular currencies on the Forex market

Forex used to be a closed market because only the “big boys” because you needed between 10 and 50 million $ to open an account. But today, with the development of internet, online Forex brokers have the possibility to offer their services to “little” traders. All you need to start is a computer, fast internet connection and information which you can find on this page also.

This enormous market is like the dangerous sea where you can meet lots of sharks and dangerous waters but at the same time it is the only one where two weeks of trading can hypothetically bring you $1,000,000 out of $1,000 of initial investment.

This is certainly hypothetically because a lot of newbie traders deal with their trades as gambling, that surely bring them to having nothing in the end. You should always keep the phrase "be careful!" in your mind. This market would give you its profit possibilities only if you learn the basic things hard and make lots of demo trading.

The statistics is that as much as 95% of traders come to losing their money at Forex, 5% have profit and less than 1% of traders make large fortune at Forex. You shouldn't produce, sell or advertise anything trading at Forex. Your assets are your knowledge, experience and a small amount of cash.

This market is a platform for banks, transnational corporations and individual traders to change the currencies they possess into other ones. This is the spot Forex market. At this market you can trade with up to 1:400 leverage which means that you'll get $400 on your account for each dollar invested. So, you can trade with the $400,000 sum having invested $1,000 onto your account.

Forex is unique among other world markets because in any time of day and night, somewhere in the world, a financial centre is open for business, banks and corporations exchange currency all the time, with a little lower frequency during the weekend.

Why to trade on Forex?

1. There is no commission fee for trading at Forex.
2. There is no intermediary, you can trade directly at Forex.
3. Forex is open 24-hours a day.
4. Nobody can influence the market for a longer period.
5. High liquidity.
6. Free demo accounts, analysis and charts.
7. Small accounts that allow everyone to try out his luck.

Hope this has answered a lot of questions you were asking yourself about Forex and that you can now start trading. Also make sure that you check out other articles on this blog which can help you earn your fortune.

Good luck to everyone!